The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq rose on Tuesday after tame inflation data underscored the Federal Reserve’s dovish stance on interest rate hikes, but the Dow ended lower as Boeing’s shares sank for a second day after one of its planes crashed in Ethiopia.
Consumer Prices Rise
According to a Labor Department report released Tuesday morning, its Consumer Price Index increased 0.2 percent, lifted by gains in the costs of food, gasoline and rents. The CPI had been unchanged for three straight months. However, the pace of the increase was modest, resulting in the smallest annual gain in nearly 2-1/2 years.
In the 12 months through February, the CPI rose 1.5 percent, the smallest gain since September 2016. The CPI increased 1.6 percent on a year-on-year basis in January.
If you exclude the volatile food and energy components, the CPI edged up 0.1 percent, the smallest increase since August 2018. The so-called core CPI had increased by 0.2 percent for five straight months.
In the 12 months through February, the core CPI rose 2.1 percent. The core CPI had increased by 2.2 percent for three consecutive months on an annual basis.
The Federal Reserve, which has a 2 percent inflation target, tracks a different measure, the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, for monetary policy.
The core PCE price index increased 1.9 percent on a year-on-year basis in December after a similar gain in November. It hit the Fed’s 2 percent inflation target in March last year for the first time since April 2012.
Slowing domestic and global growth are keeping inflation in check even as a tight labor market is driving up wages. Annual wage growth jumped 3.4 percent in February, the biggest increase since April 2009, from 3.1 percent in January.
A New York Fed survey of consumer expectations published on Monday showed a decline in inflation expectations for February.
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell on Sunday reiterated the Fed’s wait-and-see approach to further monetary policy tightening this year. Powell said the Fed did “not feel any hurry” to change the level of interest rates again.
The January PCE price data will be released on March 19. It was delayed by federal government shutdown.
In February, gasoline prices rose 1.5 percent after falling 5.5 percent in January. Food prices increased 0.4 percent, the largest rise since May 2014, after gaining 0.2 percent in January. Food consumed at home rose 0.4 percent last month.
Owners’ equivalent rent of primary residence, which is what a homeowner would pay to rent or receive from renting a home, increased 0.3 percent in February after a similar gain in January.
Healthcare costs fell 0.2 percent after rising 0.2 percent in January. Apparel prices rose 0.3 percent last month. That followed a 1.1 percent increase in January. There were increases in the prices of motor vehicle insurance, airline fares, household furnishings and personal care products. At the same time there was a decrease in the prices for
new motor vehicles, used cars and trucks, as well as recreation.